Road ahead is bumpy because we are bent on ignoring lessons from the past

By: HARRISON M. IKUNDA

This is a time of great political heat and things are not likely to change until after the 2017 elections, and will probably continue due to either succession politics or a new dispensation.

Early this year when I started pointing out that we could be headed for an economic crisis, that with the political noise that was going on, we were so absorbed in our tribal cocoons and thinking that we were unlikely to see the bigger picture, I was jeered at and at times accused of not being either patriotic enough or not toeing the establishment line of thinking the way my ancestral region (nay tribe) did.

My inbox would be full of abusive messages. However, a few people agreed with me. I have now surely been vindicated.

There is too much going on in the economy and we need to pay attention lest we go bust.

Treasury Bills rates are alarmingly high.

Mind you, borrowing at this rate creates no real wealth for the overall economy; it simply benefits the few who have liquid paper money.

Yet we are busy politicking about the ICC and the possible alliances during the 2017 elections. I think we have completely lost the plot.

I have done a lot of research on social media communication lately, especially during these debates on who “fixed” Ruto and the political “prayer” meetings and can confirm that we are a strongly tribally divided nation.

Indeed, the exchanges I have seen re-ignite the feeling that we seem to have learnt nothing from the unfortunate events of 2007/2008, when the nation was almost torn apart.

A DETERIORATING COUNTRY

Some of the puerile discourses I have seen are disgusting.

It is sad that in a country with our type of political history that has seen the perpetuation of tribal hegemony, skewed allocation and wanton grabbing of resources coupled with corruption, so much tribal emotion must come to the fore.

Indeed, it has become a common feeling that you can only get anything if you have one of “your own” in the right places.

Tribalism, just like corruption, is the source of all things backward in this resourceful country.

It seems this disease will not end any time soon. And the next election is only likely to make things worse, with the future succession debate for the 2022 polls.

All the alliances that will be formed will have their eye on that. And now that people have seen how devolution works and the power and prestige attached to the many political seats on offer — the presidency, the governor, the MP, the senator, and even the MCA — we can only expect fireworks.

With the economy already in distress and the war on corruption already a lost battle, the road ahead looks rather bumpy.